There are still 3 years to go, but Joe Biden's party is already planning the presidential race of the United States and that is how the Democrats are preparing for 2024.
They have not finished settling Joe Biden in the White House and from now on, Republicans and Democrats are already preparing for 2024. Photo: TW-JoeBiden
LatinAmerican Post | Santiago Gómez Hernández
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Leer en español: Así se están preparando los demócratas para 2024
They have not finished settling Joe Biden in the White House and from this moment, the Republicans and Democrats are already preparing for 2024. Politics does not rest and an election that looks exciting must have a lot of previous organization.
On the side of the Republican party, former President Donald Trump seems to have a free hand and the necessary support to be able to opt for the candidacy again. On the Democratic side, there is greater uncertainty as to who will be the contender. From President Biden himself to new figures, the deck is wide.
The first option in a first term is and always will be the current president. It would not be a surprise if the Democrats are targeting Joe Biden, although this will not be known for sure until later in the term. However, the fear represented by a new Trump administration may make the Democratic party rethink to think of another option. His low popularity within a year of being elected (an approval rating below 50%) worries the party. Especially since at the end of next year the midterm elections will come and the Democrats will be able to lose the majorities in Congress. 34 out of 100 seats in the Senate and 435 in the House will be up for grabs. Although to this day, FiveThirtyOne gives a slight advantage to the blues, it is a tradition that the opposition to the current Government, win seats.
If it is not Biden, the first great figure who goes within the Government is the vice president herself: Kamala Harris. However, the Democrat is going through low hours in popularity. According to the Rasmussen Reports poll, at the beginning of December, only 39% of Americans have a favorable opinion of the Indo-African American. Apparently, the poor results in terms of migration, the machismo of the voters, and the fall of the effervescence that caused her application, today have her with an unfavorable image.
If he is neither the president nor the vice president, the candidate can leave former competitors. If the chosen candidate is again a moderate candidate, Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar and Tulsi Gabbard stand out. Tom Steyer, Deval Patrick, Andrew Yang, and Michel Bennet also stand out, who also competed, but did not get great support. Among the most prominent are Buttigieg, the current secretary of transportation. Or Nancy Pelosi, the Iron Lady of the Lower House in Congress and one of the most powerful Democrats.
On the side of the more progressive, the names of Bernie Sanders, Isabel Warren, and even Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez herself do not die. The first is the politician who arouses the most emotions within the young democrats who see progressivism and social democracy as a viable options. The other two are important to career policies (the former for much longer than the latter) on the American left and are valid options. Sanders and Warren were 2 and 3 in the past primaries.
Nor can we ignore the figure of Michelle Obama, the former first lady of President Barack Obama. Michelle was seduced and many considered her a strong candidate as she was able to garner all the support of former President Obama and arouse the same emotion that he achieved in his first campaign. Also, being an African American woman, she could be the new face of the Democratic Party.
Now, normally in the United States, if the candidate was not part of the Government or Congress, he is a Governor. The Blues have in Gavin Newsom (California), Laura Kelly (Kansas), Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan), Roy Cooper (North Carolina), Tom Wolf (Pennsylvania), and Michelle Lujan Grisham (New Mexico) great options.
The battle for the governorates
A year ago, Georgia was a key state in the presidential election. Following a republican tradition, he surprised and gave Joe Biden the winner. Part of this victory is associated with a specific person: Stacey Abrams, a Democratic political leader who was in charge of convincing several Democrats to register in the electoral colleges and thus make the state go from red to blue.
This is where Stacey Abrams wants to be the linchpin. The black leader of the southern state confirmed her candidacy for the Interior, hoping to defeat Republican Brian Kemp. Already in 2019, Kemp had won the pulse of the Democrat with just 50.2% of the votes, while Abrams was left with 48.8%. However, after a massive voter registration by Abrams, this could benefit her for the next year's voting (2022). If it wins, it would reaffirm the Democratic strength achieved in the presidential elections and could mean 16 polling stations by 2024, which will surely be a fairly close election.
Read also: Donald Trump's Plans For 2024
The same will happen in Arizona, North Carolina, Florida, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. All of these states were defined by voting Finish in the last elections, with less than 5% (Arizona defined it with 0.3% and Wisconsin with just over 0.5%).
Of these, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Florida, Pennsylvania, and aforementioned Georgia will have elections in 2022. According to Center For Politics, all (except Florida) can change hands, even Kansas would change.
This would mean that we would go from a Republican governor in Arizona and Georgia, they would go on to have a Democrat. While Nevada, Pennsylvania, Kansas, and Wisconsin appear to be changing from blue to red.
So the accounts, 36 polling stations (49 if we add Virginia) that went to Biden in 2020, will now be in a state-controlled by a Republican governor. But the 26 polling stations it managed to (historically) get in Georgia and Arizona, maybe in a blue state. This gives a difference of 23 additional polling stations for the Republican candidate if we use the same logic. However, the difference between Trump and Biden was 74, so the elephant party will need to attract more votes in important states.