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Europe emerges from recession on exports
Nov. 13 -- The euro-area economy emerged from its worst recession since World War II in the third quarter as exports from Germany and France helped compensate for households’ reluctance to increase spending.

GDP in the economy of the 16 nations using the euro rose 0.4 percent from the second quarter, when it fell 0.2 percent, the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said today. Economists forecast the economy to grow 0.5 percent, according to the median of 34 estimates in a Bloomberg survey.

Europe’s economy is gathering strength after governments stepped up stimulus measures and the European Central Bank injected billions of euros into markets to encourage lending. While European confidence in the economic outlook rose to a 13- month high in October, rising unemployment and a surging euro are threatening to undermine a recovery.

“Without stimulus programs, we wouldn’t have the current growth rates,” said a senior economist at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. “Companies are gradually normalizing inventories and exports performed quite well. The dynamic probably continued in the current quarter.”

European government bonds were higher, snapping a two-day decline. The yield on the benchmark 10-year German bund fell 2 basis points to 3.34 percent as of 10:07 a.m. in London. The euro traded at $1.4880, up 0.2 percent on the day.

Global Economy

In the year, GDP fell a seasonally adjusted 4.1 percent after declining 4.8 percent in the second quarter. In the 27- member European Union, GDP rose 0.2 percent from the previous three-month period, when it dropped 0.3 percent.

The global economy is also gathering steam, led by China, where the manufacturing industry expanded at the fastest pace in 18 months in October. In the U.S., the world’s biggest economy, leading economic indicators rose for a sixth month in September.

Lafarge SA, the world’s largest cement maker based in Paris, witnessed the “first signs of stabilization in the global economic slowdown” in the third quarter, according to the Chief Executive Officer. The head of Volkswagen AG’s North America division, said on Nov. 11 that “things are looking up” for Europe’s largest carmaker.

In Germany, Europe’s largest economy, GDP rose a seasonally adjusted 0.7 percent from the second quarter, when it increased 0.4 percent. The French economy expanded 0.3 percent in the third quarter. In Italy and the Netherlands, the economies also emerged from a recession in the third quarter.

‘Positive Phase’

“We are coming to a positive phase of this company in showing its relative strength to the competition; that’s basically true for all divisions,” the CEO of Daimler AG, the world’s second-largest maker of luxury cars, said on Nov. 12. “I have a strong confidence that we are heading into a strong period.”

Europe’s recovery is being threatened by the dollar’s 18 percent slide against the euro and the region’s policy makers are calling on China to shoulder some of that burden by allowing the yuan to appreciate. China has kept its currency steady against the dollar since July 2008 and European Central Bank President said Nov. 5 that a stronger yuan would be “welcome.”

While China’s central bank this week scrapped a pledge in its quarterly report to keep the yuan “basically stable,” President didn’t address the currency peg in a speech to executives in Singapore today.

‘Very Lively’

Some economies are trailing the European recovery. In the U.K., where Prime MinisterBrown is struggling to shore up his popularity before elections due in June, the economy remains mired in its longest recession on record. GDP dropped 0.4 percent in the third quarter, extending the contraction over sixth quarters. The spanish economy also contracted for a sixth quarter in the three months through September.

For now, companies are relying on faster growing markets to bolster sales. Paris-based Pernod Ricard SA, the world’s second- biggest liquor maker, said on Nov. 3 that demand is “very lively” in China and India. L’Oreal SA, the world’s largest cosmetics maker, on Nov. 5 reported stronger demand for shampoos and makeup in Asia and Latin America.

“Sales are accelerating in emerging markets,” L’Oreal CEO said on that day in Paris. “Overall, the situation is getting better.”

Taking Hold

With a global recovery taking hold, central banks have signaled they are ready to wind down some unconventional measures. The ECB left its key rate at 1 percent on Nov. 5 and signaled that it won’t offer banks unlimited cash over 12 months next year. The US Federal Reserve earlier this month outlined the conditions needed for it to raise borrowing costs.

“Exit strategies are not the sort of thing to be done in a rush,” said Julian Callow, chief European economist at Barclays Capital in London. “At the moment, the most likely scenario is that there are going to be more upside surprises. But we have to be careful not to exclude a double-dip” in the euro region.

With the euro’s ascent against the dollar since mid- February making exports more expensive and rising unemployment undermining consumer demand, the economy may be slow to gain momentum. Europe’s jobless rate rose to 9.7 percent in September, the highest since January 1999.

Dublin-based Smurfit Kappa Group Plc, Europe’s largest maker of cardboard boxes, said on Nov. 10 that “a consumer-led economic recovery” hasn’t yet materialized. Peter Voser, CEO of Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Europe’s largest oil company, said on Oct. 29 that the outlook remains “very uncertain.”

“The recovery is fragile and sluggish,” IMF Director said. “The recovery will take place earlier in Asia than in the U.S. and in the U.S. earlier than in Europe.”

The statistics office is scheduled to publish a breakdown of third-quarter GDP on Dec. 3.

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Brazil and Mexico: Latam preview
The following events and economic reports may influence trading in Latin American local bonds and currencies. Bond yields and exchange rates are from the previous session.
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Latam: Bond and currency preview
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Chile economy to shrink in 2009
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Fastest inflation since 2004
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Lula raises minimum wage 12%
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Colombia Venezuela form fund to boost trade
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Petrobras unveils 174.4 billion spending plan
Petroleo Brasileiro, Brazil's government-controlled oil company, said state loans will help finance a $28.6 billion spending plan this year aimed at developing the Americas' largest discovery in three decades.
Bolivia takes full control of Chaco gas
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Colombia reports sharp drop in remittances
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Brazil loses 654,000 jobs amid crisis
SAO PAULO, Brazil -- Brazil's Labor Ministry says the country lost 654,000 jobs in December as the international financial crisis slammed Latin America's largest economy.
Ecuador cuts imports to defend dollar use
Ecuador has reached an agreement with business leaders to cut imports by $1.5 billion to help defend the South American country's use of the dollar as legal tender, President Correa said.
Petrobras to invest $1.1 billion in Bolivia
Jan. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Brazilian President Lula da Silva plans to invest $1.1 billion to develop Bolivia's natural-gas reserves as the Andean nation struggles to meet supply contracts to Brazil and Argentina.
Mexico braces for Detroit fallout
Auto woes of the Big Three could hurt plants south of the border – and spur migration north.
Cuban economy still depends on other nations
Fifty years after the Cuban revolution, the island nation has not been able to become self-sufficient.
U.S. economy: near depression pace
(Bloomberg) -- Sales of single-family houses in the U.S. dropped in November by the most in two decades and resale prices collapsed at a pace reminiscent of the Great Depression, dashing speculation the market was close to a bottom.
Ecuador defaults on second set of bonds
Ecuador announced that it would default on a second foreign-debt interest payment, bringing to more than $60 million the amount it is now refusing to pay lenders.
Decline of 70,600 Jobs in Canada
Canada lost 70,600 jobs in November, about three times more than many economists had expected, Statistics Canada reported.
Crisis costs to Brazil auto industry
SAO CAETANO, Brazil -- The car builders wistfully recall those heady days.
Jitters over Obama's free-trade policies
Business elites and conservative governments worry about his opposition to free-trade deals.
Brazil economic optimism
Nov. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Most Brazilian stocks rose as falling unemployment bolstered speculation Latin America's biggest economy may withstand the worst of the credit crisis.
Ecuador's urges bondholders patience
Nov. 19 -- Ecuador's Finance Minister Maria Elsa Viteri urged ``anxious'' bondholders to be patient as a debt auditing commission finishes a report that will help determine whether the country honors its foreign obligations.
Brazil unemployment rate declined to 7.5%
Nov. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Brazil's unemployment rate fell to the second-lowest level in seven years in October, national statistics agency said today.
CostaRica pineapple boom environmental questions
Many environmentalists and residents say the explosive growth in pineapple production in Costa Rica has outpaced the government's ability to regulate it.
Latam rejects WTO safeguard mechanism
Latin American countries rejected in late July the special safeguard mechanism of the World Trade Organization (WTO), saying it damages their export interests.
Petrobras finds more oil
Petroleo Brasileiro, Brazil's state-controlled oil company, discovered oil in an offshore Campos Basin well northeast of Rio de Janeiro.
Chavez trying to stimulate economy
President Hugo Chávez' economic stimulus package offers an Olive Branch to business leaders by introducing currency controls and eliminating a 1.5 percent tax on financial transactions for businesses.
Brazil extends Amazon soy ban
RIO DE JANEIRO, Brazil -- Grain crushers have extended a two-year-old moratorium on the purchase of soybeans planted in areas of the Amazon rain forest cut down after 2006, Brazil's environment minister said.
Brazil to talk with Paraguay on Itaipu power
Brazil will start formal talks with Paraguay about the price it pays for electricity generated at the Itaipu dam.
Chevron owes billions for Ecuadorean pollution
In a report to the court, the expert, Richard Cabrera, who is a geologist, said the low end of the range represented the cost to remediate soils and pay for health care costs, a water system and infrastructure improvements.
Mexico's oil output falls
Should the national oil company allowing private investments? Critics worry about foreign control.
Brazil lifts tariffs on wheat imports
Feb. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Brazil lifted tariffs on wheat imported from countries outside of the Mercosur trade bloc in a bid to stem inflation, Valor Economico reported.
Nicaragua `Consensus' to lower food costs
Feb. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Nicaragua's commerce minister said the Sandinista government will try to reach a ``consensus'' with food producers to curb rising prices that fuel inflation.
Court bars sale of Venezuela oil assets
The oil giant ExxonMobil has won court orders freezing as much as $12 billion in petroleum assets controlled by Venezuela's government in an escalation of a dispute over efforts by President Chávez to assert greater control over the country's oil industry.
US free trade accords face rocky road
With elections and economic woes, congressional approval of foreign trade accords will be an uphill battle.
Chile fights to stay top of class
Rich in copper and with enviable macroeconomic stability, investment-grade credit ratings and dramatic poverty reduction in the past two decades, Chile has become used to being top of the South American class.
Latin America braces for crisis
Governments, economists and business leaders in Latin America are preparing for a looming U.S. recession.
Rice lobbies for Colombia trade deal
Secretary of State Rice wrapped up a two-day visit with a strong show of support for President Uribe, a close ally of the Bush administration who is seeking a trade agreement with the United States.
Brazil gauging inflation keeps rate at 11.25%
Brazil's central bank will probably keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged for a third straight meeting as policy makers gauge whether an acceleration in inflation is temporary.
Emerging-market bonds decline
Emerging-market bonds fell, led by Argentine debt, as investors doubted whether the Federal Reserve's emergency rate cut would stave off a recession in the U.S. economy.
Brazil: TAM buys 22 Airbus jets
The Brazilian airline TAM said it had signed a contract to buy 46 Airbus jets, including 22 extra-wide-body A350s. The European-made A350 is a rival to the Boeing 787 Dreamliner.
Brazil: Gas field discovered
The Brazilian state oil company said it had discovered a natural gas reserve off the coast of Rio de Janeiro that could be as big as the recently discovered giant Tupi oil field.
Price controls undermine Argentine ranchers
Price controls meant to curb inflation are forcing Argentine ranchers to sell their herds.
Chile congress backs pensions for all
Chile's congress backed a pension reform bill to ensure the country's landmark social security program for the first time covers every citizen.
Peru may be the next rising star in Latam
When I asked senior World Bank economist Marcelo M. Giugale in a recent television interview which countries will be the economic stars of Latin America over the next 20 years, I was surprised by his answer. The first country he mentioned was Peru.
US dollar near Civil-war low
The U.S. dollar slumped to another record low against the euro and a 26-year low against the British pound Wednesday, even as it approached Civil War-era lows against the Canadian currency, the ``loonie.''
House to OK Peru free-trade
WASHINGTON -- Ending a yearlong hiatus by Congress on free trade agreements, the House is poised to approve a deal with Peru, possibly Thursday, giving supporters hope that they will gain momentum for more difficult deals down the road.
For U.S. exporters in Cuba, business trumps politics
HAVANA, Nov. 11 — A trade fair in Communist Cuba is perhaps the last place you would expect to find a Republican governor from the American heartland. Yet last week, Gov. Dave Heineman of Nebraska was here to sign a deal to export $11 million worth of his state's wheat to the island.
Balancing act for Argentina's next leader
The landslide victory of Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, the wife of Nestor Kirchner,Argengtina´s current president, seemed to signal that the Peronist party was back and stronger than ever. But the way she won the presidency and the economic challenges she faces will prove a stiff test of her abilities to keep the couple in power.
Chávez's plan for Development Bank moves ahead
The idea by Hugo Chávez , Venezuela's president, to create a Bank of the South to finance regional development projects is moving forward, aided by the tacit approval of Brazil, which has South America's largest economy.
Energy crunch threatens Latam nations
— For Chile and Argentina, it was the frostiest of winters, and not just the reading on the thermometer.
House panel approves Perú trade pact
Sept. 25 — A trade pact between the United States and Peru won bipartisan support in a crucial Congressional committee Tuesday, signaling that some Democrats will be receptive to new trade deals as long as they call on other nations to adhere to international labor and environmental standards.
Dollar (Canadian) really worth a dollar (U.S.)
New Yorkers, like most Americans, pay precious little attention to what happens in Canada, that large, sparsely populated region with the chronically inferior currency.
U.S. trade pact protested in Costa Rica
SAN JOSÉ, — More than 100,000 Costa Ricans, some dressed as skeletons, protested a United States trade pact on Sunday that they said would flood their country with cheap farm goods and cause job losses.
Chavez economy unravels, devaluation climbs
Hugo Chavez's economy is starting to unravel in the currency market.
Brazil's objections slow plan for regional bank
President Hugo Chavez's efforts to curb the influence of the United States in the developing world range from creating a leftist television network for Latin America to selling cheap oil to his allies, but few of his projects were begun as enthusiastically as the Bank of the South.
Brazil bucks global economic downturn
The high food and commodity prices hurting most countries are buoying Brazil, a top exporter of minerals, soy, beef, chicken, and grains.
Chavez to expand Venezuela oil-supply pact
President Hugo Chavez on Sunday touted a pact that is delivering fuel to 17 nations, calling it a tool against poverty and dismissing accusations that he is giving away Venezuela's oil wealth.
U.S. oil companies' influence is waning
HOUSTON -- Though the United States is still the world's leading oil consumer, its might in the global petroleum business is dwindling.






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